Trump floats Iran ‘regime change’ even as the true impact of US strikes is far from clear


President Donald Trump’s onslaught of Iran’s nuclear plants was the most violent moment of his two terms and America’s 46-year showdown with the Islamic Republic.

Flush with the spoils of battle, he already seems to be toying with the idea of regime change.

But the reality of whether Trump truly destroyed Iran’s nuclear ambitions and the consequences of his aggression are far more ambiguous than his bullish claims of victory would suggest.

The president insisted Sunday that the damage to three nuclear sites struck by the US was “monumental.” He posted on social media that “the hits were hard and accurate.”

Round-the-world raids by B-2 stealth bombers out of Missouri using never-before-deployed “bunker-busting” bombs demonstrated the unique reach of the US military and its continued potency despite Trump administration chaos at the Pentagon.

If Trump’s order eradicated Iran’s nuclear program, or set it back years or decades, he could claim a legacy achievement that lifted an existential threat to Israel. If Iranian power is neutered, the Middle East could be transformed.

The president effectively tried to bomb Iran to the negotiating table and to an effective surrender of its capacity to enrich uranium. But it’s a long shot whether humiliation by an enemy Tehran regards as the “Great Satan” will convince it to sue for peace.

And questions are mounting over whether the strikes over the weekend truly “obliterated” all of Iran’s nuclear infrastructure as Trump claims. And the president has still not shared the intelligence that convinced him that Iran was “a few weeks away” from building a nuclear weapon — even though US spy agencies assessed it had not yet decided to do so. Read more...

 

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